← Wallets
+$58.3kNo · avg 87¢ → 97.9¢ · $525.7k−$3,953Yes · avg 36¢ → 33¢ · $43.5k−$812Merab Dvalishvili · avg 41¢ → 40¢ · $32.5k+$187Lone'er Kavanagh · avg 51¢ → 52¢ · $19.3k−$1,350No · avg 26¢ → 22¢ · $6,450+$238No · avg 66¢ → 88¢ · $950
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 4. The prices it paid implied about 1.5 wins, so it did +12.8 pts better than the market expected. That's only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Open bets: who else is there
Other rated wallets holding the same side, or the other side, of this wallet's open bets.
None of its 1 open bets has a proven or losing wallet on either side yet.
Price-adjusted edge
+12.8 pts
Called / graded
2/4
Expected from price
1.5
Flagged volume
$847.6k
Sample size4 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±22.8 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$637.9k
Last 30 days +$224.2k · $14.32M volume · 8,757 trades · since May 29, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$1.93M
Open P&L · 28 positions
−$2.56M
Closed-position win rate
93%
14 closed
Wallet age · markets
148d
42 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 4 | 2 | 1.5 | +12.8 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 UFC 333: Ramazan Temirov vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card) | LOW BUY Loneer Kavanagh @ 51¢ | $19.0k | pending |
 US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien | LOW BUY Learner Tien @ 56¢ | $55.7k | excluded |
 Will France win on 2026-07-18? | HIGH BUY Yes @ 52¢ | $251.6k 3.9× usual |
missed |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED BUY Yes @ 9.7¢ | $64.9k | missed |
| UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card) | MED BUY Belal Muhammad @ 53¢ | $148.3k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
 Spurs vs. Knicks | MED BUY Spurs @ 45¢ | $244.3k 3.8× usual |
called |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | LOW BUY Spurs @ 42¢ | $63.8k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x2cff41…