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What this means. A wallet put $48.7k on No, at a price that gave it a 50% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 6 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$48.7k
BUY No @ 50¢ · 97,305 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet CryptoScam took No (buy) for $48.7k at an average 50¢. At that price the market implied a 50% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $48.7k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 50¢ means
50%chance the market gave
−100American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 50¢
- Implied odds
- 50.0%
- As American odds
- −100 no vig
- Size
- $48.7k
- Placed
- Jun 14, 07:35 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 14, 22:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- CryptoScam
- Tx
- 0x151d8262…
This wallet's graded record
3/6-0.2 pts
expected 3.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -50 ptsNo price · entry 50¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.9k | excluded |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $23.8k | excluded |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $264.4k 4.7× usual |
excluded |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $102.0k 3.6× usual |
excluded |