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Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $264.4k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 8 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?excluded$264.4k
SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ · 264,706 shares
Size ≥ $250kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)4.7× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet NiNo999 took Yes (sell) for $264.4k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $264.4k+3
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 0.1%
- Size
- $264.4k
- Placed
- Jun 15, 00:06 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 14, 22:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- NiNo999
- Tx
- 0xfd20ea44…
This wallet's graded record
0/8-53.6 pts
expected 4.3 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.9k | excluded |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $23.8k | excluded |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $102.0k 3.6× usual |
excluded |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $31.1k | excluded |