← Wallets
−$389New Zealand · avg 45¢ → 28¢ · $611
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.8 wins, so it did -83.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-83.0 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.8
Flagged volume
$764.4k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±37.6 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$106.5k
Last 30 days −$225 · $8.68M volume · 3,496 trades · since Feb 24, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$316.8k
Open P&L · 1 positions
−$389
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
242d
1215 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.8 | -83.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US Open WTA: Madison Keys vs Qinwen Zheng | LOW BUY Madison Keys @ 98¢ | $13.0k | excluded |
 Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-27? | LOW SELL Yes @ 97.5¢ | $12.1k | excluded |
 Cincinnati Open: Alexander Blockx vs Flavio Cobolli | LOW SELL Flavio Cobolli @ 93¢ | $10.6k | excluded |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Eala | LOW SELL Alexandra Eala @ 99.9¢ | $20.4k | excluded |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Eala | LOW BUY Alexandra Eala @ 98¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
 Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Argentina @ 98¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance | LOW BUY Argentina @ 78¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
| Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance | LOW BUY Argentina @ 86¢ | $38.0k | excluded |
| United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Belgium @ 99.9¢ | $41.3k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | MED BUY Belgium @ 87¢ | $36.0k | excluded |
| Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance | LOW SELL England @ 99.9¢ | $39.7k | excluded |
| Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance | LOW BUY England @ 88¢ | $35.0k | excluded |
| Will England win on 2026-06-23? | LOW BUY Yes @ 83¢ | $12.0k | missed |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $21.1k | excluded |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? | LOW BUY Yes @ 94.8¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99¢ | $12.9k | excluded |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | LOW SELL Yes @ 96.5¢ | $13.6k | excluded |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | LOW BUY Yes @ 85¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
| Grass Court Championships: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nikola Bartunkova | LOW BUY Aryna Sabalenka @ 94.5¢ | $60.0k 3.0× usual |
excluded |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $38.6k | excluded |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | LOW BUY Yes @ 94.9¢ | $25.0k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | LOW SELL Yes @ 34¢ | $24.2k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | LOW BUY Yes @ 90.3¢ | $65.0k 3.2× usual |
excluded |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $31.1k | excluded |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | LOW BUY Yes @ 96.4¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
 Knicks vs. Spurs | LOW SELL Knicks @ 99¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | LOW SELL Spurs @ 99¢ | $12.1k | excluded |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | LOW BUY Spurs @ 98.1¢ | $13.0k | excluded |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | LOW SELL Spurs @ 99¢ | $11.7k | excluded |
 Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru | LOW SELL Sunrisers Hyderabad @ 99.9¢ | $12.8k | excluded |
| Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru | LOW BUY Sunrisers Hyderabad @ 94¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
| Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kings | MED SELL Gujarat Titans @ 91.4¢ | $23.5k | excluded |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | LOW SELL Spurs @ 99.9¢ | $10.6k | excluded |
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