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What this means. A wallet put $30.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 96% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?excluded
$30.0k
BUY Yes @ 96.4¢ · 31,122 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet blket took Yes (buy) for $30.0k at an average 96.4¢. At that price the market implied a 96% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $30.0k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 96¢ means
96%chance the market gave
−2674American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
96.4¢
Implied odds
96.4%
As American odds
−2674 no vig
Size
$30.0k
Placed
Jun 14, 23:25 EDT
Market close
Jun 14, 22:00 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
blket
Tx
0x7e02652a…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-83.0 pts
expected 0.8 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade +4 pts
Yes price · entry 96.4¢ · resolved Yes
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 96.4¢ · $30.0k WHALE $30.0K @ 96.4¢
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $12.9k0% 0x8603…fb04131d agoexcluded
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $23.8k0% 0xa8b9…775d131d agoexcluded
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $10.2k0% enjoyablestench131d agoexcluded
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $264.4k
4.7× usual
0% NiNo999131d agoexcluded
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $10.2k0% suntori LOSING131d agoexcluded
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $102.0k
3.6× usual
0% nuttypoo131d agoexcluded