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Weekly report card

Week 2026-23

Jun 01, 00:00 EDT – Jun 07, 23:59 EDT · markets that resolved this week

Price-adjusted edge
-14.7 pts
Called
104/220
Expected from price
136.3
Std. error
±2.9

In week 2026-23, 220 graded flags resolved. The flagged side won 104 times; entry prices implied 136.3. Whales did no better than the price (-14.7 pts). One week is a small sample.

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Sports953056.0-27.4 pts
Crypto462127.7-14.6 pts
Other443735.4+3.7 pts
Politics351617.2-3.4 pts

Every graded flag

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander ZverevHIGH BUY Alexander Zverev @ 81¢ $3.12M81% Inaccuratestake138d agocalled
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander ZverevHIGH BUY Alexander Zverev @ 79¢ $1.85M79% Inaccuratestake139d agocalled
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander ZverevHIGH BUY Alexander Zverev @ 82¢ $1.28M
10.2× usual
82% brightshieldd138d agocalled
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?HIGH BUY No @ 95¢ $516.4k
2.7× usual
95% aekghas144d agocalled
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?MED BUY No @ 96¢ $299.7k
7.0× usual
96% badbbd143d agocalled
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?HIGH BUY Yes @ 78¢ $277.0k78% willo2144d agomissed
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?MED BUY No @ 94¢ $192.5k94% aekghas144d agocalled
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?MED BUY No @ 95¢ $174.5k95% aekghas143d agocalled
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?MED BUY No @ 77¢ $166.7k77% aekghas148d agocalled
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?MED BUY No @ 77¢ $159.6k77% aekghas148d agocalled
Knicks vs. SpursMED BUY Spurs @ 67¢ $141.5k
2.6× usual
67% Vatrer141d agomissed
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?HIGH BUY No @ 95¢ $135.0k95% 0x0f02…5bfb NEW143d agocalled
Knicks vs. SpursMED BUY Spurs @ 67¢ $134.0k
7.1× usual
67% 0x20d6…3856141d agomissed
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?MED BUY Yes @ 70¢ $133.3k70% 0x55d8…b384144d agomissed
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?MED BUY No @ 96¢ $124.8k
2.9× usual
96% badbbd143d agocalled
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana ShnaiderMED BUY Aryna Sabalenka @ 89¢ $116.6k89% surfandturf LOSING143d agomissed
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?MED BUY No @ 88¢ $114.9k
4.1× usual
88% EB99999146d agocalled
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)MED BUY Spurs @ 50¢ $112.5k
2.5× usual
50% texaskid140d agomissed
Knicks vs. SpursMED BUY Knicks @ 37¢ $103.6k37% 0xdc71…d033142d agocalled
Knicks vs. SpursMED BUY Spurs @ 64¢ $102.4k
4.9× usual
64% 0xb915…8da5143d agomissed
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?HIGH BUY Yes @ 80¢ $101.8k80% onchainapril NEW144d agomissed
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?HIGH BUY No @ 94.9¢ $101.0k95% 0x0f02…5bfb NEW142d agocalled
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 95.9¢ $100.0k
2.3× usual
96% badbbd141d agocalled
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles DodgersMED BUY Los Angeles Dodgers @ 68¢ $99.1k
4.5× usual
68% Pwaddler138d agomissed
Knicks vs. SpursLOW BUY Knicks @ 37¢ $97.8k37% 0xb6d6…be17142d agocalled
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 97¢ $96.2k
3.2× usual
97% Batundi141d agocalled
Knicks vs. SpursMED BUY Knicks @ 33¢ $94.8k
2.4× usual
33% 0xa0f2…1848140d agocalled
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander ZverevLOW BUY Alexander Zverev @ 81¢ $81.0k
2.5× usual
81% tyutgbhnm138d agocalled
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta BravesMED BUY Atlanta Braves @ 70¢ $80.2k70% Talvez10 PROVEN141d agomissed
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander ZverevLOW BUY Alexander Zverev @ 78¢ $78.0k78% surfandturf LOSING139d agocalled
Knicks vs. SpursMED BUY Knicks @ 33¢ $68.3k33% Mentallyillgambld140d agocalled
Knicks vs. SpursMED BUY Spurs @ 67¢ $68.1k67% SammySledge141d agomissed
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 92¢ $61.7k
2.2× usual
92% EB99999145d agocalled
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta BravesMED BUY Atlanta Braves @ 70¢ $60.9k
2.6× usual
70% Feromont141d agomissed
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?MED BUY Yes @ 61¢ $59.2k
2.8× usual
61% 5245242144d agomissed
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander ZverevMED BUY Flavio Cobolli @ 19¢ $58.6k
2.1× usual
19% 0x5f65…2036138d agomissed
Knicks vs. SpursLOW BUY Spurs @ 67¢ $53.6k
2.2× usual
67% THEdirkdiggler141d agomissed
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta BravesLOW BUY Atlanta Braves @ 70¢ $52.5k
3.1× usual
70% kokony141d agomissed
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana ShnaiderLOW BUY Aryna Sabalenka @ 89¢ $51.5k
2.0× usual
89% 08AF143d agomissed
Knicks vs. SpursLOW BUY Spurs @ 68¢ $50.0k68% NiNo999140d agomissed
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 90¢ $50.0k90% 0xddf4…2680145d agocalled
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?MED BUY No @ 95¢ $50.0k95% 0x0f02…5bfb NEW144d agocalled
Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Anna KalinskayaLOW BUY Anastasia Potapova @ 66¢ $47.5k66% NiNo999145d agomissed
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?MED BUY Yes @ 83¢ $46.4k83% ligmaaaaa144d agomissed
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?HIGH SELL Yes @ 61¢ $45.8k39% 0xb3f2…488e NEW144d agocalled
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 95¢ $44.2k
2.2× usual
95% mrwhite700144d agocalled
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?MED BUY No @ 94¢ $42.0k94% 0x0f02…5bfb NEW144d agocalled
Knicks vs. SpursMED BUY Knicks @ 34¢ $41.3k34% 0xdc71…d033141d agocalled
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?LOW BUY No @ 79¢ $40.3k
2.3× usual
79% Arlette193d agocalled
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?MED BUY No @ 95¢ $34.0k95% 0x0f02…5bfb NEW144d agocalled
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)LOW BUY Knicks @ 51¢ $33.1k51% strike123141d agocalled
Knicks vs. SpursLOW BUY Spurs @ 64¢ $33.1k64% mooseborzoi LOSING142d agomissed
Knicks vs. SpursMED BUY Knicks @ 33¢ $32.8k33% Hugewinner140d agocalled
Knicks vs. SpursMED BUY Spurs @ 64¢ $32.6k64% wigglew142d agomissed
Knicks vs. SpursLOW BUY Spurs @ 68¢ $31.8k68% joeburrow11140d agomissed
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?MED BUY No @ 85¢ $31.5k85% pbshine=clown NEW155d agocalled
Knicks vs. SpursLOW BUY Spurs @ 67¢ $31.4k67% mikethebosss344140d agomissed
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?MED SELL Yes @ 32¢ $31.2k68% Goliath-Online164d agocalled
Knicks vs. SpursMED BUY Knicks @ 34¢ $30.6k
2.1× usual
34% 0xcf60…a6f5141d agocalled
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles DodgersLOW BUY Los Angeles Dodgers @ 70¢ $30.5k70% zzaqq2138d agomissed
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?MED BUY Yes @ 81¢ $30.0k81% iamdog1 NEW144d agomissed
Knicks vs. SpursLOW BUY Spurs @ 66¢ $28.6k66% 0x16bb…8492141d agomissed
Knicks vs. SpursMED BUY Knicks @ 34¢ $27.4k34% JJbeast141d agocalled
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 41¢ $27.1k41% Clicker1150d agomissed
Knicks vs. SpursLOW BUY Spurs @ 67¢ $26.9k67% Painfulvoid141d agomissed
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta KostyukLOW BUY Elina Svitolina @ 46¢ $26.2k46% 0xd104…710b145d agomissed
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander ZverevLOW BUY Alexander Zverev @ 79¢ $25.5k79% surfandturf LOSING139d agocalled
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana ShnaiderLOW BUY Aryna Sabalenka @ 87¢ $25.1k87% angelat0143d agomissed
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?LOW SELL Yes @ 61¢ $25.0k39% ProfessionalPunter141d agomissed
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2LOW BUY GamerLegion @ 51¢ $25.0k51% AV23IUa PROVEN138d agomissed
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?MED BUY No @ 95¢ $25.0k95% awefqw4 NEW143d agocalled
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?MED BUY Yes @ 80¢ $23.8k80% freeeesss0 NEW144d agomissed
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 68¢ $22.8k32% cccyun160d agomissed
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 93¢ $22.1k7% Shovelface145d agomissed
Knicks vs. SpursLOW BUY Spurs @ 64¢ $22.0k64% mooseborzoi LOSING142d agomissed
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?MED BUY No @ 33¢ $21.9k33% MisTKy PROVEN144d agocalled
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?MED SELL Yes @ 74¢ $21.9k26% prayingnotbroke144d agocalled
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?LOW SELL Yes @ 76¢ $21.6k24% NeH144d agocalled
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?LOW BUY Yes @ 94.2¢ $21.4k94% aenews2 LOSING146d agocalled
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta KostyukLOW BUY Marta Kostyuk @ 54¢ $21.2k54% one8tyfive144d agocalled
Knicks vs. SpursLOW BUY Spurs @ 66¢ $20.7k66% weflyhigh PROVEN141d agomissed
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?MED BUY Yes @ 6¢ $20.5k6% Erasmus. PROVEN143d agomissed
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles DodgersLOW BUY Los Angeles Dodgers @ 67¢ $20.1k67% Gh0stTradez138d agomissed
Knicks vs. SpursLOW BUY Spurs @ 60¢ $20.1k60% beet420142d agomissed
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2LOW BUY B8 @ 50¢ $20.0k50% TAIWANNUMBERONE138d agocalled
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)LOW BUY Spurs @ 50¢ $20.0k50% 0xbd14…d62a141d agomissed
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 81¢ $20.0k81% Doggieson144d agomissed
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?LOW SELL No @ 87¢ $20.0k13% InsiderrrZ190d agomissed
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 75¢ $19.8k75% kinderSman147d agocalled
Knicks vs. SpursLOW BUY Knicks @ 37¢ $19.5k37% TurretOnX142d agocalled
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 89¢ $19.2k89% disputequant170d agocalled
Golden Knights vs. HurricanesLOW BUY Hurricanes @ 60¢ $19.0k60% 0xb6d6…be17143d agomissed
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?LOW BUY Yes @ 90.7¢ $18.8k91% aenews2 LOSING145d agocalled
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1LOW BUY Sharks @ 39¢ $18.7k39% 0x89dd…f662142d agomissed
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1LOW BUY TYLOO @ 62¢ $18.6k62% ygggg1142d agocalled
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 93¢ $18.6k93% coco040678145d agocalled
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 90¢ $18.4k90% aenews2 LOSING145d agocalled
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 80¢ $18.3k80% PETE7144d agomissed
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles DodgersLOW BUY Los Angeles Dodgers @ 67¢ $18.2k67% mooseborzoi LOSING138d agomissed
Knicks vs. SpursLOW BUY Spurs @ 64¢ $17.9k64% swy01142d agomissed

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Yesterday's biggest flags and how they graded. Misses included.