← Wallets
−$73Yes · avg 8.4¢ → 2.2¢ · $27
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.8 wins, so it did -82.7 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-82.7 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.8
Flagged volume
$69.6k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±37.8 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$34.4k
Last 30 days +$1 · $2.62M volume · 1,366 trades · since Jul 15, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$23.7k
Open P&L · 40 positions
−$57.4k
Closed-position win rate
68%
105 closed
Wallet age · markets
831d
130 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto | 1 | 0 | 0.8 | -82.7 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | MED BUY Yes @ 83¢ | $46.4k | missed |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $23.2k | excluded |
Share this record
<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0x682e388668c2da2c40631665dea992b8a72b70bd"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0x682e388668c2da2c40631665dea992b8a72b70bd.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>
JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x682e38…