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What this means. A wallet put $30.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 81% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$30.0k
BUY Yes @ 81¢ · 36,810 shares
Size ≥ $10kFresh walletCrypto
What happened
Wallet iamdog1 took Yes (buy) for $30.0k at an average 81¢. At that price the market implied a 81% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $30.0k+1
Fresh wallet (new or ≤5 markets)+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 81¢ means
81%chance the market gave
−441American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 81¢
- Implied odds
- 81.5%
- Size
- $30.0k
- Placed
- Jun 01, 08:31 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 01, 13:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- iamdog1
- Tx
- 0xc8e1e0d1…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-81.5 pts
expected 0.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -81 ptsYes price · entry 81¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $12.8k | excluded |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $93.3k 3.1× usual |
excluded |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $351.6k | excluded |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $360.0k 7.9× usual |
excluded |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |