← Wallets
+$53.4kNo · avg 50¢ → 91.1¢ · $118.4k−$53.4kYes · avg 50¢ → 8.9¢ · $11.6k+$128No · avg 94.9¢ → 97.7¢ · $4,556+$91No · avg 89¢ → 91.5¢ · $2,935+$92No · avg 94.8¢ → 98.2¢ · $2,646+$155No · avg 91.5¢ → 97.8¢ · $2,443+$214No · avg 89¢ → 97.5¢ · $2,439+$50No · avg 92¢ → 94¢ · $2,350
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$476.3k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$37.0k
Last 30 days +$427 · $19.01M volume · 30,177 trades · since Oct 31, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$42.0k
Open P&L · 61 positions
+$1,745
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
723d
5567 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $29.0k | excluded |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $93.3k 3.1× usual |
excluded |
 Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $69.9k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
 US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $118.0k 3.9× usual |
excluded |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $31.0k | excluded |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $50.0k | excluded |
 Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $29.9k | excluded |
 Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $25.0k | excluded |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ | $11.3k | excluded |
 US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $19.0k | excluded |
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