← Wallets
+$2,058Yes · avg 44¢ → 74¢ · $5,072−$5,715No · avg 61¢ → 18¢ · $2,275+$12No · avg 92¢ → 92.6¢ · $1,982−$1,027Yes · avg 16¢ → 10¢ · $1,961−$36Yes · avg 99¢ → 96¢ · $1,165+$0No · avg 97.8¢ → 97.8¢ · $710+$24No · avg 56¢ → 80¢ · $79+$0No · avg 98¢ → 98.5¢ · $29
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 4 of 7. The prices it paid implied about 3.7 wins, so it did +4.3 pts better than the market expected. That's only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Without its single best bet: -3.3 pts. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+4.3 pts
Called / graded
4/7
Expected from price
3.7
Flagged volume
$1.87M
Sample size7 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±17.3 pts std. error.
Graded P&L at their stakes
−$7487 graded bets in the order they resolved · 4 won. Each step is one bet: win pays (1−price)/price × stake, loss costs the stake.
Past graded bets, not a prediction. Information, not advice.
Without their best bet
Leave out the single bet that helped most (Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major at 50¢) and the edge is -3.3 pts. If that falls apart, one bet made the record.
Calibration: won vs price paid
20–40¢
0% vs 24% · n=2
40–60¢
100% vs 54% · n=2
60–80¢
67% vs 71% · n=3
Bar = how often they won. White tick = what the price implied.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$535.9k
Last 30 days −$117.9k · $49.56M volume · 55,719 trades · since Feb 03, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$8.85M
Open P&L · 500 positions
−$8.26M
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
263d
2713 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 7 | 4 | 3.7 | +4.3 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Army vs. Tulsa | LOW BUY Tulsa @ 82¢ | $33.0k | excluded |
| Duke vs. Virginia | LOW BUY Virginia @ 66¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
 Nuggets vs. Thunder | LOW BUY Thunder @ 81¢ | $14.5k | excluded |
| East Carolina vs. Memphis | LOW BUY East Carolina @ 60¢ | $13.7k | excluded |
 Patriots vs. Bears: O/U 52.5 | LOW BUY Over @ 58¢ | $12.8k | excluded |
| Cavaliers vs. 76ers | LOW BUY Cavaliers @ 64¢ | $22.9k | excluded |
| Patriots vs. Bears | MED BUY Bears @ 72¢ | $36.3k | excluded |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | LOW BUY Thunder @ 90¢ | $34.3k | excluded |
| South Alabama vs. Marshall | LOW BUY South Alabama @ 52¢ | $15.4k | excluded |
| Commanders vs. 49ers | LOW BUY 49ers @ 80¢ | $48.3k | excluded |
| Cowboys vs. Packers | LOW BUY Packers @ 71¢ | $39.8k | excluded |
| Cardinals vs. Rams | LOW BUY Rams @ 83¢ | $27.3k | excluded |
| Steelers vs. Buccaneers | LOW BUY Buccaneers @ 45¢ | $14.7k | excluded |
| Steelers vs. Buccaneers | LOW BUY Steelers @ 77¢ | $38.8k | excluded |
| Panthers vs. Eagles | MED BUY Panthers @ 71¢ | $81.5k 3.0× usual |
excluded |
| Memphis vs. Tulane | LOW BUY Tulane @ 68¢ | $16.5k | excluded |
| Memphis vs. Tulane | LOW BUY Memphis @ 78¢ | $19.6k | excluded |
 Game Handicap: C9 (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5) | LOW BUY FURIA Esports @ 63¢ | $48.1k | excluded |
| Seahawks vs. Broncos | LOW BUY Broncos @ 79¢ | $39.6k | excluded |
| Delaware vs. Middle Tennessee | LOW BUY Middle Tennessee @ 53¢ | $51.2k | excluded |
| Ravens vs. Falcons | LOW BUY Falcons @ 74¢ | $29.8k | excluded |
| 49ers vs. Seahawks | MED BUY Seahawks @ 69¢ | $73.7k 2.7× usual |
excluded |
 Will Argentina win on 2026-10-06? | LOW BUY Yes @ 97.7¢ | $69.0k 2.5× usual |
excluded |
| Falcons vs. Saints | LOW BUY Falcons @ 90¢ | $45.0k | excluded |
| Falcons vs. Saints | MED BUY Falcons @ 65¢ | $42.0k | excluded |
| Lions vs. Panthers | LOW BUY Panthers @ 83¢ | $14.4k | excluded |
| Broncos vs. 49ers | MED BUY Broncos @ 39¢ | $33.1k | excluded |
| Jaguars vs. Bengals | MED BUY Jaguars @ 75¢ | $29.9k | excluded |
| Cardinals vs. Giants | LOW BUY Giants @ 73¢ | $37.2k | excluded |
| Cowboys vs. Texans | MED BUY Texans @ 68¢ | $27.2k | excluded |
| Washington vs. USC | MED BUY USC @ 77¢ | $108.9k 4.0× usual |
excluded |
| Rams vs. Eagles | LOW BUY Rams @ 62¢ | $13.6k | called |
| Eagles vs. Bears | MED BUY Bears @ 78¢ | $31.2k | excluded |
| Eagles vs. Bears | LOW BUY Eagles @ 59¢ | $44.7k | excluded |
| Eagles vs. Bears | LOW BUY Bears @ 60¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| Rams vs. Broncos | MED BUY Rams @ 78¢ | $47.7k | excluded |
| Ravens vs. Cowboys | MED BUY Ravens @ 68¢ | $36.5k | excluded |
| Raiders vs. Saints | LOW BUY Saints @ 83¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| Chiefs vs. Dolphins | LOW BUY Chiefs @ 92¢ | $17.5k | excluded |
| Falcons vs. Packers | MED BUY Falcons @ 69¢ | $84.5k 3.1× usual |
excluded |
| Commanders vs. Cowboys | LOW BUY Cowboys @ 85¢ | $21.2k | excluded |
| Seahawks vs. Cardinals | LOW BUY Seahawks @ 72¢ | $16.0k | excluded |
| Commanders vs. Cowboys | MED BUY Cowboys @ 80¢ | $39.8k | excluded |
| Packers vs. Jets | LOW BUY Packers @ 75¢ | $18.8k | excluded |
| LSU vs. Ole Miss | LOW BUY LSU @ 58¢ | $34.6k | excluded |
| LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Playoffs | LOW BUY Dplus KIA @ 75¢ | $28.9k | called |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Playoffs | LOW BUY Dplus KIA @ 77¢ | $16.6k | missed |
| LoL: Team Vitality vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Season | LOW BUY Team Vitality @ 58¢ | $10.5k | called |
 Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves | LOW BUY Atlanta Braves @ 51¢ | $20.4k | excluded |
| LoL: T1 vs DN SOOPers (BO5) - KeSPA Cup Playoffs | MED BUY DN SOOPers @ 56¢ | $38.3k | excluded |
| LoL: T1 vs DN SOOPers (BO5) - KeSPA Cup Playoffs | LOW BUY T1 @ 52¢ | $24.7k | excluded |
| LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group | LOW BUY Dplus KIA @ 63¢ | $18.9k | excluded |
| LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier | LOW BUY Kiwoom DRX @ 66¢ | $10.4k | excluded |
| LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group | LOW BUY Hanwha Life Esports @ 52¢ | $30.3k | excluded |
| LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group | LOW SELL T1 @ 50¢ | $11.0k | excluded |
| LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | LOW BUY ThunderTalk Gaming @ 30¢ | $15.9k | excluded |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D | LOW BUY JD Gaming @ 32¢ | $15.1k | excluded |
 Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 | LOW BUY B8 @ 50¢ | $20.0k | called |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | LOW BUY Kiwoom DRX @ 25¢ | $14.4k | missed |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | LOW BUY Kiwoom DRX @ 23¢ | $15.4k | missed |
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