← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $21.9k on No, at a price that gave it a 33% chance. It won. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+8.5 pts over 35 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$21.9k
BUY No @ 33¢ · 66,516 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideProven walletCrypto
What happened
Wallet MisTKy took No (buy) for $21.9k at an average 33¢. At that price the market implied a 33% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $21.9k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 33¢ means
33%chance the market gave
+203American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 33¢
- Implied odds
- 33.0%
- Size
- $21.9k
- Placed
- Jun 01, 09:40 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 01, 13:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- MisTKy
- Tx
- 0xeb11a8a4…
This wallet's graded record
25/35+8.5 pts
expected 22.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +67 ptsNo price · entry 33¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $12.8k | excluded |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $93.3k 3.1× usual |
excluded |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $351.6k | excluded |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $360.0k 7.9× usual |
excluded |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |