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+$79MOUZ · avg 81¢ → 82¢ · $4,025−$156Namibia · avg 72¢ → 62¢ · $932
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.6 wins, so it did -64.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-64.0 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.6
Flagged volume
$46.3k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±48.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$400.7k
Last 30 days −$48.7k · $34.13M volume · 46,296 trades · since Oct 29, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$1.17M
Open P&L · 101 positions
−$71.3k
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
725d
6685 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.6 | -64.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Knicks vs. Spurs | LOW BUY Spurs @ 64¢ | $17.9k | missed |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs | LOW SELL Spurs @ 75¢ | $11.9k | excluded |
 Seahawks vs. Patriots | LOW SELL Seahawks @ 99.9¢ | $16.4k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xe3d4de…