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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 3 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 1.6 wins, so it did +47.8 pts better than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+47.8 pts
Called / graded
3/3
Expected from price
1.6
Flagged volume
$437.0k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±26.8 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$167.9k
Last 30 days +$0 · $2.02M volume · 310 trades · since Jun 01, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$506.0k
Open P&L · 7 positions
−$332.3k
Closed-position win rate
83%
6 closed
Wallet age · markets
145d
12 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto | 1 | 1 | 0.3 | +73.8 pts |
| Sports | 2 | 2 | 1.3 | +34.8 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| MED BUY Yes @ 53¢ | $157.0k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 62¢ | $98.7k | called | |
| MED BUY Yes @ 69¢ | $159.3k | called | |
| MED SELL Yes @ 74¢ | $21.9k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x0f0edb…