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prayingnotbroke

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 3 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 1.6 wins, so it did +47.8 pts better than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+47.8 pts
Called / graded
3/3
Expected from price
1.6
Flagged volume
$437.0k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±26.8 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$167.9k
Last 30 days +$0 · $2.02M volume · 310 trades · since Jun 01, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$506.0k
Open P&L · 7 positions
−$332.3k
Closed-position win rate
83%
6 closed
Wallet age · markets
145d
12 markets traded

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Crypto110.3+73.8 pts
Sports221.3+34.8 pts

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Will England win on 2026-07-11?MED BUY Yes @ 53¢ $157.0k53% 104d agoexcluded
Will France win on 2026-07-09?LOW BUY Yes @ 62¢ $98.7k62% 107d agocalled
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?MED BUY Yes @ 69¢ $159.3k69% 125d agocalled
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?MED SELL Yes @ 74¢ $21.9k26% 145d agocalled

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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x0f0edb…