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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.6 wins, so it did +19.6 pts better than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+19.6 pts
Called / graded
2/2
Expected from price
1.6
Flagged volume
$4.97M
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±28.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$3.85M
Last 30 days −$0 · $27.93M volume · 2,239 trades · since May 24, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$3.85M
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
74%
31 closed
Wallet age · markets
154d
28 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 2 | 1.6 | +19.6 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev | HIGH BUY Alexander Zverev @ 81¢ | $3.12M | called |
| Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev | HIGH BUY Alexander Zverev @ 79¢ | $1.85M | called |
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<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0xf8831548531d56ad6a4331493243c447a827cd1f"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0xf8831548531d56ad6a4331493243c447a827cd1f.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>
JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xf88315…