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What this means. A wallet put $31.2k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 68% chance. It won. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$31.2k
SELL Yes @ 32¢ · 99,071 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Crypto
What happened
Wallet Goliath-Online took Yes (sell) for $31.2k at an average 32¢. At that price the market implied a 68% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $31.2k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 32¢
- Implied odds
- 68.5%
- Size
- $31.2k
- Placed
- May 13, 02:48 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 01, 13:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Goliath-Online
- Tx
- 0xd8703a34…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+31.5 pts
expected 0.7 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $12.8k | excluded |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $93.3k 3.1× usual |
excluded |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $351.6k | excluded |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $360.0k 7.9× usual |
excluded |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |