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What this means. A wallet put $106.2k on Under, at a price that gave it a 55% chance. It lost. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+15.5 pts over 23 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$106.2k
BUY Under @ 55¢ · 193,120 shares
Size ≥ $100kProven walletSports
What happened
Wallet Kch-Temp took Under (buy) for $106.2k at an average 55¢. At that price the market implied a 55% chance for that side. The market resolved Over, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $106.2k+2
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 55¢ means
55%chance the market gave
−122American odds
$1.00paid per share if Under wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 55¢
- Implied odds
- 55.0%
- As American odds
- −122 no vig
- Size
- $106.2k
- Placed
- Jun 14, 07:43 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 14, 13:00 EDT
- Result
- Over
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Kch-Temp
- Tx
- 0xeb00a984…
This wallet's graded record
14/23+15.5 pts
expected 10.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -55 ptsUnder price · entry 55¢ · resolved Over
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 | LOW SELL Over @ 99.9¢ | $11.3k | excluded |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 | LOW BUY Over @ 65¢ | $13.5k | excluded |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 | LOW BUY Over @ 44¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 | MED BUY Under @ 56¢ | $25.7k | excluded |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 | MED BUY Under @ 55¢ | $59.6k 2.8× usual |
excluded |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 | MED BUY Over @ 45¢ | $48.7k | called |