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What this means. A wallet put $48.7k on Over, at a price that gave it a 45% chance. It won. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+10.0 pts over 62 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$48.7k
BUY Over @ 45¢ · 108,126 shares
Size ≥ $10kProven walletSports
What happened
Wallet swisstony took Over (buy) for $48.7k at an average 45¢. At that price the market implied a 45% chance for that side. The market resolved Over, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $48.7k+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 45¢ means
45%chance the market gave
+122American odds
$1.00paid per share if Over wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 45¢
- Implied odds
- 45.0%
- As American odds
- +122 no vig
- Size
- $48.7k
- Placed
- Jun 14, 08:30 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 14, 13:00 EDT
- Result
- Over
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- swisstony
- Tx
- 0x0dd48ea4…
This wallet's graded record
51/62+10.0 pts
expected 44.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +55 ptsOver price · entry 45¢ · resolved Over
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 | LOW SELL Over @ 99.9¢ | $11.3k | excluded |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 | LOW BUY Over @ 65¢ | $13.5k | excluded |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 | LOW BUY Over @ 44¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 | MED BUY Under @ 56¢ | $25.7k | excluded |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 | MED BUY Under @ 55¢ | $59.6k 2.8× usual |
excluded |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 | MED BUY Under @ 55¢ | $106.2k 2.2× usual |
missed |