← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $43.2k on not Team Falcons, at a price that gave it a 23% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 18 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$43.2k
SELL Team Falcons @ 77¢ · 56,461 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog side2 fills in 1h2.1× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet NS13 took Team Falcons (sell) for $43.2k at an average 77¢. At that price the market implied a 23% chance for that side. The market resolved Team Falcons, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $43.2k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 77¢
- Implied odds
- 23.5%
- As American odds
- +326 no vig
- Size
- $43.2k
- Placed
- Jun 13, 04:07 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 13, 08:15 EDT
- Result
- Team Falcons
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- NS13
- Tx
- 0x9f47b797…
This wallet's graded record
9/18-0.2 pts
expected 9.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -23 ptsTeam Falcons price · entry 77¢ · resolved Team Falcons · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Team Falcons @ 99.9¢ | $16.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Team Falcons @ 99.9¢ | $39.3k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Team Falcons @ 65¢ | $23.1k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Monte @ 32¢ | $11.0k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Team Falcons @ 70¢ | $14.9k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Team Falcons @ 68¢ | $105.6k 2.5× usual |
excluded |