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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.5 wins, so it did +46.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+46.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.5
Flagged volume
$421.6k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±49.8 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$91.3k
Last 30 days +$0 · $1.90M volume · 445 trades · since Jun 09, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$87.2k
Open P&L · 4 positions
−$3,991
Closed-position win rate
50%
10 closed
Wallet age · markets
137d
14 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 1 | 0.5 | +46.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | MED BUY Yes @ 90¢ | $133.2k | excluded |
 Knicks vs. Spurs | LOW SELL Knicks @ 99.9¢ | $13.6k | excluded |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | LOW BUY Knicks @ 37¢ | $75.2k | excluded |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | LOW BUY Knicks @ 13¢ | $17.0k | excluded |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | LOW BUY Knicks @ 54¢ | $92.6k | called |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | LOW BUY Knicks @ 44¢ | $90.0k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x54488e…