← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $47.5k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 32% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 8 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$47.5k
BUY Yes @ 32¢ · 148,438 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog side2 fills in 1hSports
What happened
Wallet NiNo999 took Yes (buy) for $47.5k at an average 32¢. At that price the market implied a 32% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $47.5k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 32¢ means
32%chance the market gave
+212American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 32¢
- Implied odds
- 32.0%
- As American odds
- +212 no vig
- Size
- $47.5k
- Placed
- Jun 11, 20:10 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 11, 22:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- NiNo999
- Tx
- 0x3625a5cf…
This wallet's graded record
0/8-53.6 pts
expected 4.3 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -32 ptsYes price · entry 32¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | LOW BUY Yes @ 44¢ | $20.8k | excluded |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | LOW BUY No @ 64¢ | $64.0k | excluded |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | LOW BUY No @ 69¢ | $48.3k | called |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | LOW BUY No @ 69¢ | $10.0k | called |