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What this means. A wallet put $20.8k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 44% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$20.8k
BUY Yes @ 44¢ · 47,370 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet Winnerdinnerchickenjr took Yes (buy) for $20.8k at an average 44¢. At that price the market implied a 44% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $20.8k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 44¢ means
44%chance the market gave
+127American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 44¢
- Implied odds
- 44.0%
- As American odds
- +127 no vig
- Size
- $20.8k
- Placed
- Jun 11, 22:49 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 11, 22:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- Winnerdinnerchickenjr
- Tx
- 0xe150cf35…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-66.3 pts
expected 0.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -44 ptsYes price · entry 44¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | LOW BUY No @ 64¢ | $64.0k | excluded |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | MED BUY Yes @ 32¢ | $47.5k | missed |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | LOW BUY No @ 69¢ | $48.3k | called |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | LOW BUY No @ 69¢ | $10.0k | called |