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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 1.4 wins, so it did -46.8 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-46.8 pts
Called / graded
0/3
Expected from price
1.4
Flagged volume
$180.8k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±27.7 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$123.6k
Last 30 days +$0 · $1.40M volume · 73 trades · since Mar 03, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$115.9k
Open P&L · 16 positions
−$238.0k
Closed-position win rate
65%
37 closed
Wallet age · markets
235d
50 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 3 | 0 | 1.4 | -46.8 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY Knicks @ 54¢ | $59.0k 2.4× usual |
missed | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 28¢ | $16.6k | missed | |
| LOW BUY Nuggets @ 73¢ | $11.3k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Ducks @ 59¢ | $29.2k | missed | |
| LOW SELL Pistons @ 99.9¢ | $44.6k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Pistons @ 45¢ | $20.1k | called |
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<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0xebe5eafdd5caad75be19068cc6dddd83dc21b317"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0xebe5eafdd5caad75be19068cc6dddd83dc21b317.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>
JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xebe5ea…