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0xebe5…b317

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 1.4 wins, so it did -46.8 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-46.8 pts
Called / graded
0/3
Expected from price
1.4
Flagged volume
$180.8k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±27.7 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$123.6k
Last 30 days +$0 · $1.40M volume · 73 trades · since Mar 03, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$115.9k
Open P&L · 16 positions
−$238.0k
Closed-position win rate
65%
37 closed
Wallet age · markets
235d
50 markets traded

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Sports301.4-46.8 pts

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Spurs vs. KnicksLOW BUY Knicks @ 54¢ $59.0k
2.4× usual
54% 137d agomissed
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-30?LOW BUY Yes @ 28¢ $16.6k28% 176d agomissed
Timberwolves vs. NuggetsLOW BUY Nuggets @ 73¢ $11.3k73% 186d agoexcluded
Flames vs. DucksMED BUY Ducks @ 59¢ $29.2k59% 202d agomissed
Pistons vs. TimberwolvesLOW SELL Pistons @ 99.9¢ $44.6k0% 209d agoexcluded
Pistons vs. TimberwolvesLOW BUY Pistons @ 45¢ $20.1k45% 210d agocalled

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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xebe5ea…