← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $44.0k on No, at a price that gave it a 44% chance. It won. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$44.0k
BUY No @ 44¢ · 100,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet gardenshed took No (buy) for $44.0k at an average 44¢. At that price the market implied a 44% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $44.0k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 44¢ means
44%chance the market gave
+127American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 44¢
- Implied odds
- 44.0%
- As American odds
- +127 no vig
- Size
- $44.0k
- Placed
- Jun 13, 03:49 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 14, 00:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- gardenshed
- Tx
- 0x2899abf3…
This wallet's graded record
1/3-8.0 pts
expected 1.2 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +56 ptsNo price · entry 44¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $21.9k | excluded |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | LOW SELL No @ 99¢ | $33.7k | excluded |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | HIGH BUY Yes @ 12¢ | $35.3k | excluded |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | LOW BUY No @ 88¢ | $31.0k | excluded |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | MED BUY Yes @ 21¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | MED BUY No @ 79¢ | $33.2k | excluded |