Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Who's on each side
Whale money on this market, split by track record. Proven wallets beat the price over 20+ graded bets; losing wallets clearly lost to it. Everyone else is unrated.
| Side | All whales | Proven | Losing |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | $3.53M 97 flags |
$616.2k 2 wallets |
none |
| Not No | $3.34M 82 flags |
$532.5k 1 wallet |
none |
| Yes | $344.9k 19 flags |
$56.7k 2 wallets |
none |
| Not Yes | $146.2k 8 flags |
none | none |
A proven wallet on a side is a reason to look closer, not a verdict. Records come from past bets; see how to use this. Information, not advice.
Flags on this market
| Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $50.2k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $16.5k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $46.5k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $16.7k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $40.7k 2.0× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $54.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $59.1k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $25.4k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $59.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $25.0k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $23.4k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $37.9k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
| MED SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $488.8k 18.1× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $29.9k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $189.4k 4.6× usual |
excluded |
| MED SELL No @ 99.6¢ | $334.8k 7.1× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $104.5k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ | $37.1k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ | $14.7k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.1¢ | $12.1k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 98.9¢ | $11.9k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢ | $11.9k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.4¢ | $18.6k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.4¢ | $13.1k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $119.1k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.4¢ | $49.8k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.3¢ | $25.2k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.3¢ | $99.3k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $321.4k 9.6× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.2¢ | $16.6k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ | $10.6k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99¢ | $18.6k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.8¢ | $68.1k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.4¢ | $85.6k 3.5× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.6¢ | $39.4k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.4¢ | $25.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.2¢ | $38.6k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 97.7¢ | $12.1k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 97.8¢ | $59.9k 2.7× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98¢ | $29.4k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 97.9¢ | $27.6k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 97.2¢ | $43.8k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 97.6¢ | $11.3k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 97¢ | $29.0k | excluded |
| MED SELL No @ 97.2¢ | $157.5k 5.9× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 97.7¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 96.8¢ | $18.1k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 97.8¢ | $77.0k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
| MED SELL No @ 96.6¢ | $72.4k 2.5× usual |
missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 97.4¢ | $29.0k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 97¢ | $11.2k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 97.2¢ | $18.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 96.9¢ | $11.8k | called |
| MED SELL No @ 96.6¢ | $29.0k | missed |
| LOW SELL No @ 96.6¢ | $24.9k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 96.9¢ | $38.4k | called |
| LOW SELL No @ 96.3¢ | $23.8k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 96.5¢ | $11.4k | called |
| MED BUY No @ 90.4¢ | $47.4k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 89¢ | $47.4k | called |
| MED SELL No @ 88¢ | $86.1k 2.1× usual |
missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 90.7¢ | $13.6k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 85¢ | $13.7k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 84¢ | $75.0k | called |
| MED SELL No @ 75¢ | $93.6k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 81¢ | $12.5k | called |
| MED BUY No @ 92.8¢ | $42.5k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 91.4¢ | $29.0k | called |
| LOW SELL No @ 91.2¢ | $11.3k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 93.4¢ | $13.0k | called |
| MED SELL No @ 96.9¢ | $20.7k | missed |
| LOW SELL No @ 97¢ | $18.5k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 97.3¢ | $16.3k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 93.5¢ | $23.6k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 95.2¢ | $45.6k 2.2× usual |
called |
| LOW BUY No @ 92.5¢ | $14.2k | called |
| MED SELL No @ 96.1¢ | $28.9k | missed |
| MED SELL No @ 96.3¢ | $28.6k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 97.3¢ | $92.8k 3.2× usual |
excluded |
| MED BUY No @ 95.8¢ | $41.0k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 94.9¢ | $28.7k | called |
| LOW SELL No @ 90¢ | $15.8k | missed |
| LOW SELL No @ 95.8¢ | $11.2k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 94.4¢ | $28.0k | called |
| LOW SELL No @ 95.6¢ | $11.7k | missed |
| MED SELL No @ 95.6¢ | $13.0k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 95.9¢ | $17.3k | called |
| MED SELL No @ 94.7¢ | $36.9k | missed |
| MED SELL No @ 95.7¢ | $32.1k | missed |
| MED SELL No @ 96.4¢ | $15.8k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 96¢ | $21.8k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 95.8¢ | $22.0k | called |
| LOW SELL No @ 95.2¢ | $11.4k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 95.4¢ | $17.4k | called |
| LOW SELL No @ 94.5¢ | $10.8k | missed |
| LOW SELL No @ 94.8¢ | $19.6k | missed |
| MED SELL No @ 95.5¢ | $26.3k | missed |
| LOW SELL No @ 95.8¢ | $11.5k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 96.1¢ | $12.1k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 95.8¢ | $53.5k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 95.7¢ | $18.4k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 95.7¢ | $10.3k | called |
| MED BUY Yes @ 6.7¢ | $10.1k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 96.8¢ | $23.7k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 96.5¢ | $23.5k | called |
| LOW SELL No @ 95.7¢ | $19.1k | missed |
| MED BUY No @ 96¢ | $63.7k 2.4× usual |
called |
| LOW BUY No @ 95.7¢ | $16.6k | called |
| LOW SELL No @ 94¢ | $17.4k | missed |
| MED BUY No @ 95¢ | $51.4k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 94¢ | $10.3k | called |
| MED BUY No @ 94.4¢ | $101.4k | called |
| LOW SELL No @ 93¢ | $16.7k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 94¢ | $18.8k | called |
| LOW SELL No @ 93¢ | $16.4k | missed |
| MED BUY No @ 93¢ | $26.2k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 92¢ | $22.1k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 91¢ | $16.0k | called |
| LOW SELL No @ 90¢ | $14.0k | missed |
| HIGH SELL No @ 92.1¢ | $131.9k 4.9× usual |
missed |
| LOW SELL No @ 93¢ | $17.2k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 94¢ | $13.4k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 94¢ | $14.1k | called |
| MED SELL No @ 93¢ | $18.6k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 93¢ | $18.2k | called |
| LOW SELL No @ 92¢ | $13.3k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 93¢ | $14.4k | called |
| MED BUY No @ 94¢ | $54.8k 2.0× usual |
called |
| LOW BUY No @ 94¢ | $11.5k | called |
| MED SELL No @ 92.7¢ | $62.6k | missed |
| MED BUY No @ 93¢ | $85.3k 3.2× usual |
called |
| LOW BUY No @ 92¢ | $60.5k 2.7× usual |
called |
| LOW BUY No @ 92¢ | $29.4k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 91¢ | $54.0k 2.2× usual |
called |
| MED BUY No @ 90¢ | $68.5k 2.5× usual |
called |
| LOW BUY No @ 90¢ | $15.0k | called |
| MED SELL No @ 88¢ | $83.8k 3.1× usual |
missed |
| MED BUY No @ 88¢ | $26.1k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 88¢ | $11.4k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 86¢ | $16.8k | called |
| LOW SELL No @ 85¢ | $18.8k | missed |
| MED BUY No @ 87¢ | $73.5k 2.7× usual |
called |
| LOW BUY No @ 84¢ | $17.9k | called |
| MED BUY Yes @ 23¢ | $10.8k | missed |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 21¢ | $10.8k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 23¢ | $13.9k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 19¢ | $18.1k | missed |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 21¢ | $38.9k | called |
| LOW SELL No @ 72¢ | $24.2k | missed |
| MED BUY Yes @ 25¢ | $29.8k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 74¢ | $16.3k | called |
| LOW SELL No @ 72¢ | $10.8k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 73¢ | $24.3k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 28¢ | $12.5k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 75¢ | $28.8k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 74¢ | $50.0k | called |
| MED BUY No @ 69¢ | $20.0k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 67¢ | $32.5k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 31¢ | $14.2k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 71¢ | $10.7k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 70¢ | $22.5k | called |
| LOW SELL No @ 56¢ | $14.0k | missed |
| MED BUY Yes @ 35¢ | $29.7k | missed |
| LOW SELL No @ 81¢ | $11.6k | missed |
| MED BUY Yes @ 16¢ | $15.0k | missed |
| LOW SELL No @ 84¢ | $12.6k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 16¢ | $16.0k | missed |
| MED SELL No @ 84¢ | $54.0k 2.4× usual |
missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 84¢ | $12.0k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 83¢ | $27.6k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 82¢ | $19.7k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 81¢ | $53.2k 2.4× usual |
called |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 20¢ | $10.5k | called |
| MED SELL No @ 78¢ | $32.2k | missed |
| MED SELL No @ 78¢ | $19.3k | missed |
| MED BUY Yes @ 21¢ | $14.0k | missed |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 20¢ | $34.9k | called |
| LOW SELL No @ 79¢ | $15.0k | missed |
| MED BUY Yes @ 21¢ | $32.5k | missed |
| MED BUY Yes @ 19¢ | $26.2k | missed |
| LOW SELL No @ 81¢ | $15.3k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 81¢ | $24.1k | called |
| MED BUY No @ 80¢ | $36.8k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 21¢ | $14.5k | missed |
| MED BUY No @ 81¢ | $20.0k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 82¢ | $20.0k | called |
| LOW SELL No @ 78¢ | $10.9k | missed |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 20¢ | $11.0k | called |
| LOW SELL No @ 59¢ | $20.9k | missed |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 41¢ | $12.7k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 42¢ | $11.4k | missed |
| LOW SELL No @ 61¢ | $12.0k | missed |
| LOW SELL No @ 62¢ | $26.5k | missed |
| MED BUY Yes @ 38¢ | $26.6k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 37¢ | $21.0k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 62¢ | $25.8k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 42¢ | $17.0k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 35¢ | $12.0k | missed |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 72¢ | $14.4k | called |
| MED SELL Yes @ 58¢ | $13.0k | called |
Summary
WhaleGrader has logged 206 whale trades on this market totalling $7.36M from 91 wallets. The largest was $488.8k (sell No at 99.7¢). Most whale money ($3.53M) went to No. 105 of 206 graded flags here called the outcome. The biggest whale here, ArmageddonRewardsBilly ($1.07M), has called 13 of 28 graded flags overall (+2.3 pts vs price).
Market data from Polymarket (strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-end-of-may).