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What this means. A wallet put $59.9k on No, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?excluded
$59.9k
BUY No @ 99.9¢ · 60,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Other

What happened

Wallet Dafu0715 took No (buy) for $59.9k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $59.9k+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
99.9¢
Implied odds
99.9%
Size
$59.9k
Placed
Jun 01, 11:37 EDT
Market close
May 30, 20:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
Dafu0715
Tx
0x859e8a91…
This wallet's graded record
0/2-4.2 pts
expected 0.1 from price

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $50.2k100% 0xa14b…05e4143d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $16.5k100% notsosure6143d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $46.5k
2.2× usual
0% 0xdamocles143d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $16.7k0% 0xe87f…7d85143d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $40.7k
2.0× usual
0% imhome143d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $54.9k0% 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965143d agoexcluded