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What this means. A wallet put $85.3k on No, at a price that gave it a 93% chance. It won. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+2.3 pts over 28 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$85.3k
BUY No @ 93¢ · 91,706 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favorite2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Proven wallet3.2× this wallet's usual betOther
What happened
Wallet ArmageddonRewardsBilly took No (buy) for $85.3k at an average 93¢. At that price the market implied a 93% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $85.3k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 93¢ means
93%chance the market gave
−1329American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 93¢
- Implied odds
- 93.0%
- Size
- $85.3k
- Placed
- May 13, 00:55 EDT
- Market close
- May 30, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- ArmageddonRewardsBilly
- Tx
- 0x8022d653…
This wallet's graded record
13/28+2.3 pts
expected 12.4 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $50.2k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $16.5k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $46.5k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $16.7k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $40.7k 2.0× usual |
excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $54.9k | excluded |