← Wallets
−$4Yes · avg 14¢ → 8.3¢ · $6+$1Yes · avg 2.9¢ → 3.3¢ · $6
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.1 wins, so it did -11.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-11.0 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.1
Flagged volume
$44.8k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±31.3 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$6,532
Last 30 days −$8 · $449.6k volume · 1,507 trades · since Jul 10, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$11.1k
Open P&L · 24 positions
−$408
Closed-position win rate
33%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
836d
— markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 1 | 0 | 0.1 | -11.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | LOW SELL No @ 93¢ | $16.4k | missed |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | LOW BUY No @ 91¢ | $16.0k | called |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | LOW SELL No @ 89¢ | $12.4k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x5545af…