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jak00b

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$59.1k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$238
Last 30 days −$0 · $2.78M volume · 4,513 trades · since Jul 22, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$50.3k
Open P&L · 37 positions
−$13.0k
Closed-position win rate
74%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
824d
807 markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?LOW SELL No @ 81¢ $11.6k19% 171d agomissed
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?LOW BUY No @ 84¢ $12.0k84% 172d agocalled
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?LOW SELL No @ 96¢ $11.2k4% 172d agomissed
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?LOW BUY No @ 93.5¢ $11.7k93% 173d agocalled
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?LOW SELL No @ 94¢ $12.7k6% 175d agomissed

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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xc405bd…