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winnipeg

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 1.9 wins, so it did +2.6 pts better than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+2.6 pts
Called / graded
2/3
Expected from price
1.9
Flagged volume
$36.1k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±13.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$27.0k
Last 30 days +$86 · $2.17M volume · 18,974 trades · since Oct 02, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$108.9k
Open P&L · 1 positions
−$100
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
387d
2302 markets traded

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Other321.9+2.6 pts

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?LOW SELL No @ 95.8¢ $11.5k4% 159d agomissed
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?LOW BUY No @ 92¢ $12.7k92% 182d agocalled
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?LOW BUY No @ 96¢ $11.9k96% 211d agocalled

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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x919567…