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What this means. A wallet put $77.0k on No, at a price that gave it a 98% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+6.5 pts over 23 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$77.0k
BUY No @ 97.8¢ · 78,646 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favorite2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Proven wallet2.2× this wallet's usual betOther
What happened
Wallet aff3 took No (buy) for $77.0k at an average 97.8¢. At that price the market implied a 98% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $77.0k+1
Near-certain price-2
2 fills within 1h+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 98¢ means
98%chance the market gave
−4549American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 97.8¢
- Implied odds
- 97.8%
- Size
- $77.0k
- Placed
- May 25, 18:26 EDT
- Market close
- May 30, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- aff3
- Tx
- 0x02aeca0b…
This wallet's graded record
22/23+6.5 pts
expected 20.5 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +2 ptsNo price · entry 97.8¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $50.2k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $16.5k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $46.5k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $16.7k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $40.7k 2.0× usual |
excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $54.9k | excluded |