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What this means. A wallet put $86.1k on not No, at a price that gave it a 12% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$86.1k
SELL No @ 88¢ · 98,199 shares in 5 fills
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog side5 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)2.1× this wallet's usual betOther
What happened
Wallet Dafu0715 took No (sell) for $86.1k at an average 88¢. At that price the market implied a 12% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $86.1k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
5 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 88¢
- Implied odds
- 12.3%
- Size
- $86.1k
- Placed
- May 24, 01:58 EDT
- Market close
- May 30, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Dafu0715
- Tx
- 0x7f1e7df6…
This wallet's graded record
0/2-4.2 pts
expected 0.1 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -12 ptsNo price · entry 88¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $50.2k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $16.5k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $46.5k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $16.7k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $40.7k 2.0× usual |
excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $54.9k | excluded |