← Wallets
+$19No · avg 85¢ → 98.5¢ · $141+$4No · avg 91¢ → 94.5¢ · $94 · 1 proven with, 0 against+$2No · avg 92.4¢ → 97¢ · $48−$81Yes · avg 28¢ → 6.5¢ · $24+$1No · avg 94.2¢ → 98.2¢ · $20+$5No · avg 51¢ → 85¢ · $13+$0No · avg 95.9¢ → 98.8¢ · $10+$1No · avg 86¢ → 97.5¢ · $10
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 1.0 wins, so it did +4.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+4.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
1.0
Flagged volume
$29.1k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±19.6 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$4,973
Last 30 days −$0 · $342.6k volume · 854 trades · since Feb 15, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$5,028
Open P&L · 11 positions
−$51
Closed-position win rate
63%
70 closed
Wallet age · markets
251d
76 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | +4.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 96¢ | $14.4k | called |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ | $14.7k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x222f57…