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What this means. A wallet put $25.4k on not No, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?excluded
$25.4k
SELL No @ 99.8¢ · 25,491 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Other

What happened

Wallet HorribleWork took No (sell) for $25.4k at an average 99.8¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $25.4k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
99.8¢
Implied odds
0.2%
Size
$25.4k
Placed
Jun 01, 12:59 EDT
Market close
May 30, 20:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
HorribleWork
Tx
0x105fe9ee…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+5.6 pts
expected 0.9 from price

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $50.2k100% 0xa14b…05e4143d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $16.5k100% notsosure6143d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $46.5k
2.2× usual
0% 0xdamocles143d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $16.7k0% 0xe87f…7d85144d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $40.7k
2.0× usual
0% imhome144d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $54.9k0% 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965144d agoexcluded