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What this means. A wallet put $38.6k on No, at a price that gave it a 98% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?excluded
$38.6k
BUY No @ 98.2¢ · 39,340 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet thebetter1234 took No (buy) for $38.6k at an average 98.2¢. At that price the market implied a 98% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $38.6k+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 98¢ means
98%chance the market gave
−5542American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
98.2¢
Implied odds
98.2%
Size
$38.6k
Placed
May 27, 00:01 EDT
Market close
May 30, 20:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
thebetter1234
Tx
0xf5e7ed4a…

Entry to resolution

Grade +2 pts
No price · entry 98.2¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 98.2¢ · $38.6k WHALE $38.6K @ 98.2¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $50.2k100% 0xa14b…05e4144d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $16.5k100% notsosure6144d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $46.5k
2.2× usual
0% 0xdamocles144d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $16.7k0% 0xe87f…7d85144d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $40.7k
2.0× usual
0% imhome144d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $54.9k0% 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965144d agoexcluded