WhaleGrader Log inSign up
← Wallets

Runaround

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 4. The prices it paid implied about 1.0 wins, so it did +0.3 pts better than the market expected. That's only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+0.3 pts
Called / graded
1/4
Expected from price
1.0
Flagged volume
$343.3k
Sample size4 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±11.4 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$192.2k
Last 30 days +$117 · $7.15M volume · 11,401 trades · since Apr 15, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L · recent 447 closed
+$325.5k
Open P&L · 36 positions
−$133.1k
Closed-position win rate
63%
447 closed
Wallet age · markets
193d
446 markets traded

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Other411.0+0.3 pts

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?MED SELL No @ 94.7¢ $36.9k5% 158d agomissed
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?MED SELL No @ 95.7¢ $32.1k4% 158d agomissed
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?MED SELL No @ 96.6¢ $28.8k3% 173d agomissed
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?LOW SELL No @ 96.4¢ $15.0k4% 173d agomissed
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?LOW BUY No @ 83¢ $27.6k83% 173d agocalled
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?MED SELL No @ 96.4¢ $74.1k
2.6× usual
4% 173d agomissed
Nuggets vs. TimberwolvesLOW SELL Timberwolves @ 99.9¢ $19.0k0% 181d agoexcluded
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $76.5k
2.7× usual
0% 184d agoexcluded
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 84¢ $14.0k84% 186d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 88¢ $19.1k88% 187d agocalled

Share this record

WhaleGrader badge
<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0xc0ff6a9ac424210cf218fda5c5753324c34a9953"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0xc0ff6a9ac424210cf218fda5c5753324c34a9953.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>

JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xc0ff6a…