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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 4. The prices it paid implied about 1.0 wins, so it did +0.3 pts better than the market expected. That's only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+0.3 pts
Called / graded
1/4
Expected from price
1.0
Flagged volume
$343.3k
Sample size4 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±11.4 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$192.2k
Last 30 days +$117 · $7.15M volume · 11,401 trades · since Apr 15, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 447 closed
+$325.5k
Open P&L · 36 positions
−$133.1k
Closed-position win rate
63%
447 closed
Wallet age · markets
193d
446 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 4 | 1 | 1.0 | +0.3 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| MED SELL No @ 94.7¢ | $36.9k | missed | |
| MED SELL No @ 95.7¢ | $32.1k | missed | |
| MED SELL No @ 96.6¢ | $28.8k | missed | |
| LOW SELL No @ 96.4¢ | $15.0k | missed | |
| LOW BUY No @ 83¢ | $27.6k | called | |
| MED SELL No @ 96.4¢ | $74.1k 2.6× usual |
missed | |
| LOW SELL Timberwolves @ 99.9¢ | $19.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $76.5k 2.7× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 84¢ | $14.0k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 88¢ | $19.1k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xc0ff6a…