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Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesexcluded
What this means. A wallet put $19.0k on not Timberwolves, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$19.0k
SELL Timberwolves @ 99.9¢ · 19,053 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet Runaround took Timberwolves (sell) for $19.0k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Timberwolves. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $19.0k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 0.1%
- Size
- $19.0k
- Placed
- Apr 25, 23:12 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 25, 20:30 EDT
- Result
- Timberwolves
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- Runaround
- Tx
- 0x4e2f43d8…
This wallet's graded record
1/4+0.3 pts
expected 1.0 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Timberwolves @ 99.9¢ | $15.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Timberwolves @ 99.9¢ | $11.3k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Timberwolves @ 99.9¢ | $13.4k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Timberwolves @ 99.9¢ | $12.1k | excluded | |
| HIGH SELL Timberwolves @ 93.2¢ | $120.7k 4.4× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY Timberwolves @ 99¢ | $13.1k | excluded |