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+$879Yes · avg 3.9¢ → 6.6¢ · $2,209+$247Yes · avg 7.3¢ → 15¢ · $471−$984Yes · avg 40¢ → 2.1¢ · $53
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 1.5 wins, so it did -50.8 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-50.8 pts
Called / graded
0/3
Expected from price
1.5
Flagged volume
$746.5k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±28.5 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$49.3k
Last 30 days −$568 · $10.40M volume · 2,023 trades · since Mar 10, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$288.2k
Open P&L · 87 positions
−$313.1k
Closed-position win rate
67%
303 closed
Wallet age · markets
593d
354 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 3 | 0 | 1.5 | -50.8 pts |
History
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xbb8e64…