← Wallets
−$85Yes · avg 68¢ → 68¢ · $13.3k · 1 proven with, 0 against−$1Over · avg 59¢ → 58¢ · $87−$1Yes · avg 31¢ → 30¢ · $61
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.1 wins, so it did -8.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-8.0 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.1
Flagged volume
$23.9k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±27.1 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$12.4k
Last 30 days +$745 · $710.7k volume · 803 trades · since Nov 23, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$23.9k
Open P&L · 38 positions
−$9,465
Closed-position win rate
54%
309 closed
Wallet age · markets
335d
342 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 1 | 0 | 0.1 | -8.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | LOW SELL No @ 92¢ | $13.3k | missed |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.2¢ | $10.6k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x5529bb…