← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $18.5k on not No, at a price that gave it a 3% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$18.5k
SELL No @ 97¢ · 19,019 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet strike123 took No (sell) for $18.5k at an average 97¢. At that price the market implied a 3% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $18.5k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 97¢
- Implied odds
- 3.0%
- Size
- $18.5k
- Placed
- May 22, 21:47 EDT
- Market close
- May 30, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- strike123
- Tx
- 0x040e2d48…
This wallet's graded record
3/5-18.7 pts
expected 3.9 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -3 ptsNo price · entry 97¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $50.2k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $16.5k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $46.5k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $16.7k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $40.7k 2.0× usual |
excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $54.9k | excluded |