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Weekly report card

Week 2026-39

Sep 21, 00:00 EDT – Sep 27, 23:59 EDT · markets that resolved this week

Price-adjusted edge
+2.2 pts
Called
86/144
Expected from price
82.8
Std. error
±3.6

In week 2026-39, 144 graded flags resolved. The flagged side won 86 times; entry prices implied 82.8. Whales beat the price by +2.2 pts. One week is a small sample.

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Politics734746.1+1.2 pts
Sports713936.6+3.3 pts

Every graded flag

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta BravesHIGH BUY Atlanta Braves @ 70¢ $2.13M70% 0xc29c…2d10 NEW31d agomissed
Washington Nationals vs. Detroit TigersHIGH BUY Detroit Tigers @ 63¢ $1.32M63% 0xe6ca…bff430d agomissed
Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?HIGH BUY Yes @ 48¢ $333.0k
8.9× usual
48% RichieRicher27d agocalled
Rams vs. BroncosMED BUY Broncos @ 48¢ $208.1k48% Tiger20026d agocalled
Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?MED BUY Yes @ 57¢ $205.0k
5.5× usual
57% RichieRicher29d agocalled
Rams vs. BroncosMED BUY Broncos @ 50¢ $188.5k
3.3× usual
50% gmpm226d agocalled
Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?MED BUY Yes @ 58¢ $184.8k
5.5× usual
58% YYYYY99929d agocalled
Washington Nationals vs. Detroit TigersMED BUY Washington Nationals @ 38¢ $182.9k
5.5× usual
38% wr0ngw4yb3tt0r30d agocalled
Vikings vs. BuccaneersMED BUY Buccaneers @ 49¢ $154.3k49% chubbytoro26d agomissed
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?MED BUY Yes @ 75¢ $150.0k75% kindar66d agocalled
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?MED BUY Yes @ 76¢ $150.0k76% kindar67d agocalled
Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?MED BUY Yes @ 64¢ $145.7k
3.9× usual
64% RichieRicher29d agocalled
Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?MED BUY Yes @ 50¢ $141.2k
3.8× usual
50% RichieRicher27d agocalled
Rams vs. BroncosMED BUY Broncos @ 47¢ $113.5k
2.4× usual
47% liquiditycrisis26d agocalled
Giants vs. RamsLOW BUY Rams @ 74¢ $99.9k
2.5× usual
74% 0x7a75…d28832d agocalled
Spread: Rams (-2.5)MED BUY Rams @ 49¢ $98.8k
5.0× usual
49% BrotherObama PROVEN26d agomissed
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?MED BUY Yes @ 91.2¢ $66.3k
3.1× usual
91% ScottyNooo PROVEN33d agocalled
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?MED BUY Yes @ 96¢ $55.6k
2.7× usual
96% tourists33d agocalled
Chiefs vs. DolphinsMED BUY Dolphins @ 15¢ $55.3k15% 0xbc43…96d326d agomissed
Giants vs. RamsMED BUY Giants @ 27¢ $52.2k
2.3× usual
27% MiltonFriedmanHongKong32d agomissed
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?MED BUY Yes @ 95.9¢ $51.7k96% aenews2 LOSING33d agocalled
Spread: Rams (-2.5)LOW BUY Broncos @ 53¢ $50.8k53% Tiger20026d agocalled
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?MED BUY No @ 36¢ $50.0k36% 0x202b…7ed753d agomissed
Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?LOW BUY No @ 58¢ $47.3k
2.5× usual
58% btmx628d agomissed
Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?LOW BUY Yes @ 62¢ $46.2k62% 0x2c33…056329d agocalled
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?LOW BUY Yes @ 77¢ $45.0k77% IvanShepa36d agocalled
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?LOW BUY Yes @ 64¢ $42.9k64% forinnerpsandr1x11222177d agocalled
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?MED BUY Yes @ 90.9¢ $41.2k91% scottilicious PROVEN33d agocalled
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?MED BUY Yes @ 96.4¢ $41.0k
2.2× usual
96% MisTKy PROVEN33d agocalled
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?MED BUY Yes @ 81¢ $37.5k
2.1× usual
81% purplegatto PROVEN34d agocalled
Washington Nationals vs. Detroit TigersMED BUY Washington Nationals @ 38¢ $34.2k38% 0x16bb…849230d agocalled
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?LOW BUY Yes @ 82¢ $33.9k82% tourists35d agocalled
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?MED BUY No @ 46¢ $32.5k46% dwFqcd4Z105d agomissed
Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta BravesMED BUY Cincinnati Reds @ 31¢ $31.0k31% wr0ngw4yb3tt0r31d agocalled
Washington Nationals vs. Detroit TigersLOW BUY Washington Nationals @ 38¢ $30.9k38% wigglew30d agocalled
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?LOW BUY Yes @ 94¢ $30.3k
2.6× usual
94% laIaIalala33d agocalled
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?HIGH BUY No @ 26¢ $30.0k26% imnotivan NEW38d agomissed
Giants vs. RamsLOW BUY Rams @ 74¢ $29.6k74% donaldbush32d agocalled
Giants vs. RamsMED BUY Giants @ 27¢ $28.5k27% 0xd3a0…f13632d agomissed
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?LOW BUY Yes @ 56¢ $28.2k56% Kettle100d agocalled
Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?LOW BUY No @ 52¢ $27.3k52% PAROLIBOYS27d agomissed
Chiefs vs. DolphinsMED BUY Dolphins @ 16¢ $26.4k16% shark14226d agomissed
Rams vs. BroncosLOW BUY Broncos @ 46¢ $25.6k46% 0xbc43…96d326d agocalled
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?MED BUY Yes @ 82¢ $25.1k82% 0x9151…f8d9 NEW34d agocalled
Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?LOW BUY Yes @ 54¢ $24.3k54% calamansidios29d agocalled
Vikings vs. BuccaneersLOW BUY Buccaneers @ 48¢ $24.0k48% wan12327d agomissed
Washington Nationals vs. Detroit TigersLOW BUY Washington Nationals @ 39¢ $23.8k39% omnibus-076daa PROVEN30d agocalled
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?LOW BUY Yes @ 95¢ $23.7k95% CoffeeDespiser33d agocalled
Spread: Rams (-2.5)LOW BUY Broncos @ 52¢ $23.7k52% 0x2c33…056326d agocalled
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?LOW BUY Yes @ 96.6¢ $23.5k97% Eatpraylove33d agocalled
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?LOW BUY Yes @ 78¢ $23.4k78% BeneGesseritVoice35d agocalled
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?LOW BUY Yes @ 93¢ $23.2k93% zubizubizu33d agocalled
Ravens vs. CowboysLOW BUY Cowboys @ 38¢ $23.1k38% Adept-Closing28d agomissed
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?LOW BUY Yes @ 77¢ $23.0k77% segment357d agocalled
Spread: Rams (-2.5)LOW BUY Rams @ 47¢ $22.7k47% analdesutructor26d agomissed
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?LOW SELL Yes @ 75¢ $22.5k25% pilimili38d agomissed
Falcons vs. PackersLOW BUY Falcons @ 30¢ $22.4k30% Diabolical-Prize30d agocalled
Chiefs vs. DolphinsLOW BUY Chiefs @ 85¢ $22.2k
2.0× usual
85% HomeRunHazard28d agocalled
Texas A&M vs. LSULOW BUY LSU @ 76¢ $22.0k76% gmpm227d agocalled
Giants vs. RamsLOW BUY Giants @ 28¢ $21.6k28% BlazingFist32d agomissed
Rams vs. BroncosLOW BUY Rams @ 54¢ $21.6k54% bands126d agomissed
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?LOW BUY Yes @ 72¢ $21.6k72% kindar64d agocalled
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?LOW BUY Yes @ 75¢ $21.2k75% 0x4488…e31936d agocalled
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?LOW SELL Yes @ 75¢ $21.0k25% twe2nty257d agomissed
Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?LOW BUY Yes @ 60¢ $20.8k60% Champions2629d agocalled
Will Netherlands win on 2026-09-27?LOW BUY Yes @ 69¢ $20.7k69% Siddhartha127d agocalled
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?LOW BUY Yes @ 77¢ $20.7k77% 0x4488…e31935d agocalled
Rams vs. BroncosLOW BUY Rams @ 51¢ $20.4k51% sleepy-panda LOSING26d agomissed
Spread: Rams (-2.5)LOW BUY Broncos @ 52¢ $20.2k52% gmpm227d agocalled
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?LOW SELL Yes @ 77¢ $20.0k23% Jellow235d agomissed
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?LOW BUY Yes @ 76¢ $19.9k76% komsa35d agocalled
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?LOW BUY Yes @ 79¢ $19.8k79% disputequant35d agocalled
Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta BravesLOW BUY Atlanta Braves @ 69¢ $19.3k69% DeadliestCatch31d agomissed
Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?LOW BUY No @ 55¢ $19.2k55% btmx628d agomissed
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?LOW BUY Yes @ 95.9¢ $19.2k96% Tigerofthehood33d agocalled
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?LOW SELL Yes @ 71¢ $19.0k29% Lastworld1355d agomissed
Raiders vs. SaintsLOW BUY Saints @ 63¢ $18.9k63% 364839348904726d agomissed
Spread: Rams (-2.5)LOW BUY Rams @ 48¢ $18.7k48% YEEES-but-why26d agomissed
Ravens vs. CowboysLOW BUY Ravens @ 62¢ $18.6k62% bands127d agocalled
Falcons vs. PackersLOW SELL Packers @ 71¢ $18.6k29% surfandturf LOSING31d agocalled
Rams vs. BroncosLOW BUY Broncos @ 46¢ $18.4k46% 0xbc43…96d326d agocalled
Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?LOW BUY Yes @ 44¢ $18.4k44% 0x8ba2…165028d agocalled
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?LOW BUY Yes @ 74¢ $18.3k74% roroelguapo37d agocalled
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?LOW BUY Yes @ 81¢ $18.0k81% ScottyNooo PROVEN33d agocalled
Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?LOW BUY No @ 51¢ $17.9k51% PAROLIBOYS27d agomissed
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?LOW SELL Yes @ 89¢ $17.9k11% gm-gg-gn33d agomissed
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?LOW BUY No @ 24¢ $16.8k24% Putin22836d agomissed
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?LOW BUY Yes @ 82¢ $16.7k82% aenews2 LOSING35d agocalled
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?LOW SELL Yes @ 55¢ $16.7k45% gndzk156d agomissed
Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?LOW BUY Yes @ 60¢ $16.5k60% feafar29d agocalled
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?LOW BUY Yes @ 83¢ $16.3k83% purplegatto PROVEN35d agocalled
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?MED BUY No @ 21¢ $16.1k21% harpoontrading NEW34d agomissed
Texas A&M vs. LSULOW BUY Texas A&M @ 24¢ $16.1k24% wr0ngw4yb3tt0r29d agomissed
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?LOW BUY No @ 28¢ $16.0k28% KremlinGremlin37d agomissed
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?LOW SELL Yes @ 56¢ $15.9k44% 0x0b26…609190d agomissed
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?LOW BUY No @ 44¢ $15.4k44% 0x2858…5964154d agomissed
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?LOW SELL No @ 20¢ $15.3k80% LEONIDOVITCH198334d agocalled
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?LOW SELL Yes @ 77¢ $15.2k23% 0x02f1…500139d agomissed
Rams vs. BroncosLOW BUY Broncos @ 44¢ $15.2k44% monkeymashingkeyboard29d agocalled
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?LOW BUY No @ 45¢ $15.1k45% dwFqcd4Z114d agomissed

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Yesterday's biggest flags and how they graded. Misses included.