← Wallets
−$190No · avg 40¢ → 40¢ · $15.0k+$29No · avg 18¢ → 25¢ · $106+$2No · avg 12¢ → 13¢ · $13
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 9. The prices it paid implied about 4.5 wins, so it did -27.4 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 9 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Open bets: who else is there
Other rated wallets holding the same side, or the other side, of this wallet's open bets.
None of its 1 open bets has a proven or losing wallet on either side yet.
Price-adjusted edge
-27.4 pts
Called / graded
2/9
Expected from price
4.5
Flagged volume
$223.3k
Sample size9 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±16.4 pts std. error.
Graded P&L at their stakes
−$79k9 graded bets in the order they resolved · 2 won. Each step is one bet: win pays (1−price)/price × stake, loss costs the stake.
Past graded bets, not a prediction. Information, not advice.
Without their best bet
Leave out the single bet that helped most (Cardinals vs. Giants at 44¢) and the edge is -37.9 pts. If that falls apart, one bet made the record.
Calibration: won vs price paid
20–40¢
0% vs 36% · n=1
40–60¢
25% vs 51% · n=8
Bar = how often they won. White tick = what the price implied.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$177.7k
Last 30 days −$174.0k · $1.34M volume · 457 trades · since Sep 25, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$231.0k
Open P&L · 22 positions
−$403.3k
Closed-position win rate
91%
11 closed
Wallet age · markets
29d
32 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 9 | 2 | 4.5 | -27.4 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Canadiens vs. Blackhawks | LOW BUY Blackhawks @ 42¢ | $14.4k | missed |
 Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24? | LOW BUY No @ 40¢ | $15.2k | pending |
 Steelers vs. Buccaneers | LOW BUY Steelers @ 56¢ | $19.1k | called |
| Texans vs. Jaguars | LOW BUY Jaguars @ 57¢ | $14.8k | missed |
| Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-18? | LOW BUY No @ 36¢ | $20.0k | missed |
| Broncos vs. 49ers | LOW BUY Broncos @ 41¢ | $20.9k | missed |
| Cardinals vs. Giants | LOW BUY Giants @ 44¢ | $41.8k 2.2× usual |
called |
 Will Spain win on 2026-09-26? | LOW BUY No @ 55¢ | $19.2k | missed |
| Will Spain win on 2026-09-26? | LOW BUY No @ 58¢ | $47.3k 2.5× usual |
missed |
| Will Spain win on 2026-09-26? | LOW SELL Yes @ 42¢ | $10.6k | missed |
Share this record
<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0x74692bbae173bfe318cba2606e319a5685cca5f0"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0x74692bbae173bfe318cba2606e319a5685cca5f0.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>
JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x74692b…