gndzk

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.4 wins, so it did -44.6 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?+$55Yes · avg 64¢ → 68¢ · $1,055 · 1 proven with, 0 against

Price-adjusted edge

-44.6 pts

Called / graded

0/1

Expected from price

0.4

Flagged volume

$16.7k

Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±49.7 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

−$19.2k

Last 30 days +$78 · $555.7k volume · 1,539 trades · since Mar 28, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L

−$11.2k

Open P&L · 21 positions

−$7,897

Closed-position win rate

77%

117 closed

Wallet age · markets

210d

123 markets traded

By category

Category	Graded	Called	Expected	Edge
Politics	1	0	0.4	-44.6 pts

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	LOW SELL Yes @ 55¢	$16.7k	45%	156d ago	missed

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?missed

SELL Yes @ 55¢$16.7k

LOW gndzk · 156d ago

Share this record

<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0x29313474cc4e8dd00406bd2dbd69a0d92e5d365b"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0x29313474cc4e8dd00406bd2dbd69a0d92e5d365b.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>

JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x293134…