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What this means. A wallet put $17.9k on No, at a price that gave it a 51% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$17.9k
BUY No @ 51¢ · 35,132 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet PAROLIBOYS took No (buy) for $17.9k at an average 51¢. At that price the market implied a 51% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $17.9k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 51¢ means
51%chance the market gave
−104American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 51¢
- Implied odds
- 51.0%
- As American odds
- −104 no vig
- Size
- $17.9k
- Placed
- Sep 26, 11:49 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 26, 14:45 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- PAROLIBOYS
- Tx
- 0x84fef8ae…
This wallet's graded record
0/5-46.6 pts
expected 2.3 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -51 ptsNo price · entry 51¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Spain win on 2026-09-26? | LOW BUY Yes @ 98.1¢ | $10.8k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-09-26? | LOW SELL Yes @ 84¢ | $13.0k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-09-26? | LOW BUY Yes @ 78¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-09-26? | MED BUY No @ 83¢ | $25.7k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-09-26? | MED BUY No @ 55¢ | $98.7k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-09-26? | LOW BUY No @ 54¢ | $23.8k | excluded |