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0x71ac…d2b1

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 3 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 2.5 wins, so it did +16.3 pts better than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Open bets: who else is there

Other rated wallets holding the same side, or the other side, of this wallet's open bets.

None of its 1 open bets has a proven or losing wallet on either side yet.

Price-adjusted edge
+16.3 pts
Called / graded
3/3
Expected from price
2.5
Flagged volume
$446.0k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±21.3 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$4,812
Last 30 days −$50.3k · $1.75M volume · 82 trades · since Jun 15, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$204.3k
Open P&L · 18 positions
−$208.4k
Closed-position win rate
100%
55 closed
Wallet age · markets
131d
78 markets traded

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Sports332.5+16.3 pts

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)LOW BUY Petr Yan @ 60¢ $14.5k60% 3h agopending
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-21?LOW BUY Yes @ 80¢ $20.0k80% 2d agoexcluded
Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?LOW BUY Yes @ 78¢ $12.0k78% 27d agoexcluded
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15?LOW BUY Yes @ 81¢ $14.0k81% 38d agoexcluded
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-13?LOW BUY Yes @ 79¢ $19.8k79% 41d agocalled
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-13?LOW BUY Yes @ 86¢ $24.9k86% 41d agocalled
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-13?LOW BUY Yes @ 86¢ $26.0k86% 42d agocalled
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-09?LOW BUY Yes @ 85¢ $20.0k85% 44d agoexcluded
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-30?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $11.0k0% 54d agoexcluded
Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $35.5k0% 72d agoexcluded
Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?LOW BUY Yes @ 82¢ $29.0k82% 72d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 73¢ $14.1k73% 86d agoexcluded
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceLOW BUY Spain @ 93¢ $30.0k93% 96d agoexcluded
France vs. England: Team to WinLOW BUY France @ 69¢ $12.9k69% 97d agoexcluded
England vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5LOW BUY Under @ 92¢ $37.0k92% 100d agoexcluded
France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceLOW BUY Spain @ 91.5¢ $50.0k
2.5× usual
91% 101d agoexcluded
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceLOW BUY Argentina @ 75¢ $27.0k75% 104d agoexcluded
Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceLOW BUY England @ 68¢ $16.6k68% 104d agoexcluded
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?LOW BUY Yes @ 77¢ $31.7k77% 128d agoexcluded

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