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What this means. A wallet put $51.7k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 96% chance. It won. This wallet has a losing record: -17.8 pts vs the price over 20 bets. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$51.7k
BUY Yes @ 95.9¢ · 53,893 shares in 4 fills
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favorite4 fills in 1hPolitics
What happened
Wallet aenews2 took Yes (buy) for $51.7k at an average 95.9¢. At that price the market implied a 96% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $51.7k+1
4 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 96¢ means
96%chance the market gave
−2344American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 95.9¢
- Implied odds
- 95.9%
- Size
- $51.7k
- Placed
- Sep 20, 15:28 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 21, 08:43 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- aenews2
- Tx
- 0xdb478f6e…
This wallet's graded record
12/20-17.8 pts
expected 15.6 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +4 ptsYes price · entry 95.9¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $13.5k | excluded |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.1k | excluded |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $14.4k | excluded |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $35.7k | excluded |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $149.8k 3.9× usual |
excluded |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $10.8k | excluded |