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What this means. A wallet put $13.5k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?excluded
$13.5k
SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ · 13,486 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Politics

What happened

Wallet Rpzcz took Yes (sell) for $13.5k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $13.5k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
99.9¢
Implied odds
0.1%
Size
$13.5k
Placed
Sep 21, 07:58 EDT
Market close
Sep 21, 08:43 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
Rpzcz
Tx
0x1bd2dbeb…

Entry to resolution

Grade -0 pts
Yes price · entry 99.9¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 99.9¢ · $13.5k WHALE $13.5K @ 99.9¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

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