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What this means. A wallet put $12.1k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?excluded
$12.1k
SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ · 12,098 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sidePolitics

What happened

Wallet 0xf585…fe8d took Yes (sell) for $12.1k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $12.1k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
99.9¢
Implied odds
0.1%
Size
$12.1k
Placed
Sep 21, 07:19 EDT
Market close
Sep 21, 08:43 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
0xf585…fe8d
Tx
0xe9a1a58c…

Entry to resolution

Grade -0 pts
Yes price · entry 99.9¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 99.9¢ · $12.1k WHALE $12.1K @ 99.9¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

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