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bondor

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Open bets: who else is there

Other rated wallets holding the same side, or the other side, of this wallet's open bets.

None of its 1 open bets has a proven or losing wallet on either side yet.

Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$817.1k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$9,353
Last 30 days +$106 · $2.54M volume · 453 trades · since Apr 07, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$9,247
Open P&L · 1 positions
+$106
Closed-position win rate
94%
35 closed
Wallet age · markets
200d
34 markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $141.7k
2.1× usual
100% 19h agopending
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $35.7k100% 33d agoexcluded
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $26.2k100% 56d agoexcluded
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $42.2k100% 59d agoexcluded
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ $127.1k100% 75d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $139.5k
2.1× usual
100% 87d agoexcluded
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.4¢ $39.5k99% 95d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 98.6¢ $53.4k99% 130d agoexcluded
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $131.4k100% 179d agoexcluded
US forces enter Iran by April 30?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.7¢ $80.4k100% 200d agoexcluded

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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x593689…