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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.7 wins, so it did +26.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+26.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.7
Flagged volume
$612.7k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±43.9 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$176.9k
Last 30 days −$271.5k · $6.62M volume · 2,764 trades · since Sep 08, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$347.3k
Open P&L · 7 positions
−$522.5k
Closed-position win rate
91%
95 closed
Wallet age · markets
46d
100 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 1 | 0.7 | +26.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 UCLA vs. Oregon | LOW BUY Oregon @ 82¢ | $16.0k | excluded |
| Indiana vs. Nebraska | LOW BUY Indiana @ 89¢ | $40.0k | excluded |
 Rams vs. Eagles | MED BUY Eagles @ 95.8¢ | $55.8k | excluded |
| Titans vs. Ravens | LOW BUY Ravens @ 93¢ | $58.1k | excluded |
| Colts vs. Commanders | MED BUY Colts @ 89¢ | $60.7k | excluded |
 Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves | LOW BUY Atlanta Braves @ 93¢ | $27.8k | excluded |
| Chiefs vs. Dolphins | MED BUY Chiefs @ 93¢ | $60.8k | excluded |
| Giants vs. Rams | LOW BUY Rams @ 97¢ | $38.8k | excluded |
| Giants vs. Rams | LOW BUY Rams @ 74¢ | $99.9k 2.5× usual |
called |
 Will Elche CF win on 2026-09-15? | LOW BUY No @ 94¢ | $37.6k | excluded |
| Falcons vs. Steelers | MED BUY Steelers @ 76¢ | $39.9k | excluded |
 US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina | LOW SELL Elena Rybakina @ 42¢ | $25.2k | excluded |
| US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina | LOW BUY Elena Rybakina @ 70¢ | $42.0k | excluded |
 US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen | LOW BUY Frances Tiafoe @ 69¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
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