gm-gg-gn

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.1 wins, so it did -11.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?+$1,225Yes · avg 54¢ → 67¢ · $6,224 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?+$92Yes · avg 46¢ → 47¢ · $5,122 Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?−$53Yes · avg 71¢ → 70¢ · $2,481 Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?+$85Yes · avg 69¢ → 71¢ · $2,399 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?−$135Yes · avg 19¢ → 16¢ · $825 Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?−$62Yes · avg 33¢ → 27¢ · $278 Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027?−$16Yes · avg 42¢ → 35¢ · $80 UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)+$0Petr Yan · avg 59¢ → 60¢ · $17

Price-adjusted edge

-11.0 pts

Called / graded

0/1

Expected from price

0.1

Flagged volume

$17.9k

Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±31.3 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

+$10.5k

Last 30 days +$9,526 · $293.7k volume · 87 trades · since Sep 19, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L

+$9,466

Open P&L · 9 positions

+$1,136

Closed-position win rate

36%

11 closed

Wallet age · markets

35d

19 markets traded

By category

Category	Graded	Called	Expected	Edge
Politics	1	0	0.1	-11.0 pts

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	LOW SELL Yes @ 89¢	$17.9k	11%	33d ago	missed

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?missed

SELL Yes @ 89¢$17.9k

LOW gm-gg-gn · 33d ago

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